National Fire Sprinkler
Association, Inc.
2002 Annual Seminar
J.W. Marriott Las Vegas, Las
Vegas, Nevada
State of the Industry
Address
Thank
you Aus and good morning to all of you.
This is one of the largest turnouts we have ever had in a non-exhibit
year, and I would like to welcome you all to Las Vegas. Before I begin today’s formal remarks I
would like to extend my appreciation from the members of the NFSA staff and
Board of Directors to the immediate Past Chairman of the Board, Tom Groos who
stepped aside as Chairman at our February meeting. I have had the pleasure of working with Tom for the past two
years and can tell you that he was a “leader among leaders.” He has the unique
ability to bring consensus to the table of a number of divergent thinkers, and
believe me on our Board we have some divergent thinkers, and that in itself is
a credit to his leadership skills. I
personally want to thank him for the support he has given to the staff, the
encouragement he has given to me personally, and the countless hours he has
spent on industry issues away from running the business of his own companies.
Ladies and Gentlemen let’s give a nice round of applause to Mr. Tom Groos. Tom
please take a bow.
I
also would like to acknowledge and congratulate Mike Friedman and his family on
receiving the most prestigious Golden Sprinkler Award. During the past two decades, I have had the
privilege of serving with a number of outstanding Chairmen. The first being Dick Boulanger, who was with
us last year in San Francisco. I know
his daughter Margaret is here with us this afternoon. When Mike took over as chairman, his theme was “commitment to
excellence.” His energy, enthusiasm, his “out of the box” thinking, his tough
dynamic management style is exactly what the Association needed. He really was the drafter of providing us
with the tools to mold the Association in what it has become today. He was truly a pioneer of the new
Association and a number of the staff positions that are thriving today were
the brainchild of Mike Friedman. And
while there are a number of very deserving people for this award, only one is
given each year and I must say that the committee made an excellent choice, and
on behalf of the staff, the Board of Directors, the membership and indeed the
larger fire sprinkler community, my congratulations to you and your
family. Thanks Mike!
This year we will have a “real
live Economist” take a look into the sprinkler industry’s economic crystal
ball. But I simply can’t resist giving
you my view of the present economic state of our industry. In April of last year I suggested that the 3rd
and 4th quarters of 2001, and the 1st and 2nd
quarters of 2002 should begin to see significant slowdown in our industry. It’s been happening, in fact, I believe that
the slowdown will be protracted into the 3rd quarter of 2002. Backlogs are being reduced and new bookings
are not replacing this work at the same rate.
Fortunately for our industry, we are coming down from a very high level
but we are seeing in some parts of the country a significant turndown in
business. Those sprinkler contractors
who have developed residential sprinkler divisions are not being affected as
much as others because of the continued strong residential market. This is
particularly true on the west coast.
However, the continued
volatility in the equity markets and the general uncertainty given the
instability in the Middle East is contributing mightily to the protracted
uncertainty in Wall Street. As an
example, back in September of last year, if you bought $1,000 worth of Nortel
stock, it is now worth about $59, a $1,000 worth of Broad Vision is now worth
about $22. A $1,000 worth of JDS&U
is now worth about $52. A $1,000 worth of Merrill’s B2B holders is now worth
$50.
I would like you to consider
this. If at the same time you bought
$1,000 worth of Budweiser beer or Rolling Rock (if you are from Philadelphia)
-THE BEER NOT THE STOCK - one year ago, you drank all the beer, and traded in
the cans for a nickel deposit, you would have made $79.
It’s just a thought, but
certainly a better return on investment and you get to feel happy to boot!
But seriously, we need to take a
close look at the Market place…if we look and take a moment to review the work
from a broad survey of the American Institute of Architects, you will see that
billings for architectural firms continued to slow in the first part of the
year. However, we might add that the
pace of decline moderated substantially from the sharp downturn that was
experienced in billing the 3rd and 4th quarters of 2001.
In the early part of the year,
one out of five firms reported an increase in billing, that’s the largest share
since August of last year.
Firms in all regions reported
declines in billings, although the steepest were among the firms in the
Northeast.
It should be noted, however,
that architectural firms concentrating on residential work were the only
category reporting gains in January.
Inquiries to architectural firms increased sharply in the first part of
the year. But once again, some of the
strongest gains were among firms specializing in residential activity.
On Saturday, please be sure to
listen to the presentation by Charles Jacklin of The Mellon Company who can
give you additional statistics as to what we can expect for the balance of this
year into 2003. But the most common
scenario we are seeing is planned projects being delayed, deferred or cancelled
with more bidders on jobs with pricing levels barely meeting our overhead. It’s
not a pretty picture.
And now let me move to another
area of concern for our industry, and that is the unavailability of insurance
for fire sprinkler contractors. As you
know, for several months we have been attempting to obtain hard cover loss runs
from the sprinkler contractors in order to present a picture of what is taking
place in our industry with respect to losses.
We have a carrier who has expressed interest in assisting us in forming
an insurance captive for sprinkler contractors. Unfortunately, we have been unable to obtain the needed number of
companies participating to provide a carrier any significant trending. Insurance problems facing sprinkler
contractors and manufacturers are going to get worse before it gets
better. When insurance markets were
soft as they were several years ago, insurance companies were writing risks at
unrealistically competitive prices simply to churn premium dollars for
reinvestment purposes. With the drop in
interest rates, and the volatility in equity markets, this incentive no longer
exists.
Secondly, sub-contractors are
having law suits filed against them simply for being on a job sight. No involvement with the loss … the result….
umbrella coverage is skyrocketing out of sight. It seems everyone in the food chain is being sued. Any one with “deep pockets” winds up paying. We are working with a very large
insurance agency, in this case, Marshall & Stirling, in New York, to
investigate the feasibility of developing an insurance captive. At this time it is our only choice as an
industry. We are a perfect fit, we are
homogeneous, we can spread the risk, we can develop our own underwriting
guidelines, we can develop loss control procedures and we can, in a word, be
the determiners of our own destiny and not leave it in the hands of
others. In order to do this we need
loss information. Hard cover loss runs
for the last three to five years are necessary. Of the almost 80 contracting companies we have in attendance here
today, less than 20 have completed the insurance information we need to go to a
carrier. Most of those are on our Board
of Directors. Forms are available from
staff, and I urge you to obtain them and give it to your insurance agent and
have them complete it and return it so we can determine trends by lines of
coverage. It is my belief that our
industry is no different than other industries and that our losses are
occurring in the areas of automobile and workers comp. We have experienced people with access to
markets who in a short time, may be able to help you with your insurance
needs. In the long term we need to look
at every option available to our industry otherwise there are number of
sprinkler contracting companies who are in business today who will be going without
insurance tomorrow. Don’t wait. But we can’t help you unless you help us.
And once again, I have heard
concerns about the confidentiality of this information. What are we going to do
with it? But merely turn it over to the
insurance professionals and have them do their analysis. Again, these surveys are available from
staff at the registration desk.
Now I would like to call your
attention to a piece of legislation that was introduced this year by Senator
Jerry Weller of Illinois. HR2970 would have allowed the purchasers of
security systems to expense rather than capitalize the cost of that system in
its first year. We attempted to include
fire sprinklers as part of this legislation and ran into bureaucratic
roadblocks. Let me tell you this is
very high on our radar screen and will continue to be. One more attempt to resurrect the concept of
this legislation to enable anyone who installs a fire sprinkler system to
expense the cost of that system in the first year rather than to capitalize it
over the life of the building will be made.
This could be a huge incentive for retrofit initiatives and make
adversaries advocates by supporting fire sprinkler systems. This program has
been designated a SWAT initiative and Jim Dalton will be meeting with members
of the Congressional Fire Services Institute, Fire Services and other
stakeholders to resurrect either this bill or something similar during the next
legislative session of Congress. This
one will not die, trust me.
I would like to also report that
Wayne Waggoner, Regional Manager for the Southeastern states, who started with
the Association in July, 2001 has been named Executive Director of the
Tennessee Fire Sprinkler Contractors Association. He will continue to be employed by NFSA but will assist the
contractors’ state association in their efforts to promote fire sprinklers at
the state level. It is our intention to
continue to work with members and nonmembers in the state of Tennessee on this
initiative and hopefully next year form a chapter similar to what we have in
the State of Florida.
We will continue to provide a
Regional Manager presence throughout the United States, and we have full-time
people available to work with our members who have full-time jobs running their
businesses with training and education and promoting the industry in each of
our regions. Our talented Director of
Regional Operations, Buddy Dewar, has a tremendous team of people with an
ambitious agenda. I encourage you to
attend chapter meetings to learn the latest about what is being accomplished.
I would also like to acknowledge
the work of the Northern Illinois Fire Sprinkler Advisory Board and their
Executive Director Tom Lia who is also working on the adoption of residential
sprinkler ordinances in the suburbs of the Chicago metropolitan area.
Nine residential sprinkler
ordinances have been obtained to date and a number of people need to be
recognized who are in attendance this afternoon and I would like them to
stand. Please hold your applause until
they are all recognized. Gregg Huennekens of the US Fire Protection, Illinois
and Wisconsin, Barry Waterman of Acme Sprinkler Service Company, Don Smith of
Chicago Backflow as well as the Business manager for Sprinkler Fitter Local 281
Tom Collins… And last but by no means
least, Tom Lia, Executive Director of the Northern Illinois Fire Sprinkler
Advisory Board. This is a terrific
example of people working on behalf of the industry and giving up their time
from their businesses to promote the use of fire sprinklers to protect life and
property. Guys take a bow.
On Saturday we have a program on
Fire Safety in Student housing with an All Star Line up …Don’t miss this
presentation it promises to be one to remember…learn about the current status
of sprinkler protection in college dormitories and Greek housing (fraternities
and sororities)… You will also have the opportunity to meet two special people
- Rick and Donna Henson who arrive this evening. Their son Dominic was killed
in a fire while a freshman at the University of Missouri …we’ll tell “Dominic’s
Story” on Saturday…
Now I’d like to call your
attention to the Fourth International conference being held in Prague on July 9th
and 10th of this year. This conference, being sponsored by the
International Fire Sprinkler Association, will boast an international group of
speakers from all over the world to speak on fire sprinkler initiatives being
conducted in different parts of the Globe.
Prague, which is by all reports a jewel of Europe, is in the Czech
Republic, and the conference is being held at the fully sprinklered Marriott.
See the IFSA web site www.sprinklerworld.org or NFSA.org
for registration materials. They are
also available at the registration desk here.
I also encourage you as I do every year to avail yourself and you
company of NFSA’s Training and Education programs. Details again can be obtained on our WEB site (ASK FOR SHOW OF
HANDS)
That’s encouraging….(PAUSE)
On September 11th of
last year we all lived History. The events of that day will be forever etched
in our memory banks.
I
would like to take this opportunity to thank everyone for the expressions of
support for those of us who live in New York and the outpouring of concern in
the phone calls and letters we received world wide…I know we have a large
turnout of New Yorkers here this morning and I ask that they stand and be
recognized. THANK YOU …and now before I close this year’s State of the
Industry, I would ask you to put on the Fire dept. hats you received when you
registered. (PUT ON HAT) As some of you know I worked along with several
members of the staff very closely with a number of fire officials lost that
day…in addition to being business associates they were also our friends…This
afternoon I would like to extend my own personal tribute to the 343
firefighters lost on 911…It’s in the form of a song I wrote back in December of
last year. We’ve cut a CD which we will
sing along with and I just need a moment to get set up…GO TO STANDING MIKE …This
song, which is really a tribute, is dedicated today to Reverend Mychal Judge,
Chaplain of the New York City Fire Department, and their highest ranking
uniformed officer, Chief of Department Pete Ganci…who were lost that day. This is for you guys and the 341 who went
with you to a better place…Ladies and gentlemen …911. Ok, Jimmy roll it!